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Effekter av klimatförändringarna i skogen

Ökad tillväxt är en effekt av klimatförändringarna. Samtidigt ökar olika risker.Här nedan kan du läsa om Skogsstyrelsens sammanfattning kring klimat och skog. 

 

I takt med att tillväxtsäsongen förlängs kommer tillväxten att öka generellt i skogen, procentuellt i högre grad i norr och väster och i lägre grad i söder och öster. Det handlar om länsvisa ökningar på i medeltal på 15-25 procent under perioden 2040-2070 jämfört med 1960-1990.

Torka och brand

Tillväxten kommer kanske inte att öka riktigt överallt. Grundvattennivåerna höjs under vinterhalvåret. På redan mycket fuktiga marker kan tillväxtsäsongen därmed kortas. Nederbörden ökar men inte den del som kommer på sommaren. Samtidigt blir det varmare och nederbörden samlas till färre tillfällen och därför ökar risken för torka.

Risken för torka motverkas av att träden kan hålla klyvöppningarna (porerna i barren/bladen) mindre öppna när koldioxidhalten i luften är högre. I vilken grad är ännu inte fastlagt. Risken för skogsbrand ökar i motsvarande grad som risken för torka.

Vårfrost

Varmare vårar ger tidigare tillväxtstart men ökar samtidigt risken för vårfrost. Det beror på att nätterna fortfarande är långa och temperaturskillnaden mellan dag och natt är stor.

På hösten styr dagsljuset oftast när träden går in i vintervila. Den proveniens (genetisk ”hemort”) som var rätt för det klimat som rådde när trädet var en frostkänslig planta kommer inte att kunna utnyttja höstvärmen fullt ut när trädet blir medelålders och äldre.

Hjortdjuren betar hårdare

Mildare vintrar innebär att hjortdjuren överlever i högre grad. Om inte avskjutningen ökar i motsvarande grad som de blir fler betas tall- och lövplantor ännu hårdare. Skillnaden mot idag blir större ju längre norrut du kommer i landet.

Stormfällning

Risken för stormfällning ökar även utan starkare vindar. Stormfällningarna kan öka

  • då grundvattennivåerna är högre under vintrarna och tjälen oftare uteblir
  • om andelen gran har ökat ytterligare till följd av hjortdjurens betning eller
  • på grund av att träden växer fortare i det varmare klimatet och kommer tidigare upp i de längder där risken för fall ökar betydligt när de starka vindarna kommer.

Om det dessutom trots allt skulle komma starka eller mer turbulenta orkanvindar oftare ökar risken för stormfällning än mer.

Snöbrott

Möjligen ökar risken för snöbrott eftersom nederbörden ökar under vintern och det blir allt vanligare med temperaturer nära noll grader. Längre fram i tiden kan risken istället minska med börja i söder, när det blir mindre vanligt med snöfall överhuvudtaget.

Körskador och skogsbilvägar

Med varmare och mer nederbördsrika vintrar ökar riskerna än mer för körskador i skogen, såvida man inte förbättrar planering och metoder. Allvarliga körskador är dessutom förbjudna i Skogsvårdslagen och kan i vissa fall medföra åtal. Körskador kan skada biologisk mångfald om naturliga våtmarker och vattendrag får ta emot slam och humus.

Risken ökar för att milda vintrar och mjuka skogsbilvägar förhindrar uttransport av virke från stora arealer. Detta gäller framförallt Svealand och norröver där man hittills har kunnat lita på att vintern medför frusna vägar i tillräcklig omfattning.

Angrepp av insekter och svampar ökar

Många skadeinsekter och vissa skadesvampar får bättre förutsättningar i ett varmare klimat. Det gäller bland annat de som redan idag ger de mest kostsamma skadorna – rotröta, granbarkborre och snytbagge.

Nya arter av skadegörare kan vandra in och etablera sig. Ökad handel med obehandlad skogsbiomassa till följd av en utvecklad global bioenergimarknad kan ytterligare öka den risken.

Vissa arter av skadegörare kan också missgynnas i ett varmare klimat.

Rotrötan gynnas

Rotrötan sprids till färska stubbytor efter avverkning och kan så småningom via rotkontakt infektera det nya beståndet. Spridningen sker framförallt när avverkningen görs under tillväxtsäsongen. Eftersom tillväxtsäsongerna förlängs kommer sannolikt allt större del av avverkningarna att ske under tillväxtsäsongen. Om dessutom andelen gran ökar till följd av ökat betestrycket (se stycket Hjortdjuren betar hårdare) förbättras förutsättningarna för spridning av rotrötan än mer.

Skadeinsekter gynnas generellt

Granbarkborren gynnas av ökad stormfällning och av längre tillväxtsäsong då den kan föröka upp sig snabbare.

Snytbaggen trivs också bättre i ett varmare klimat och kan framförallt bli ett ökande problem norröver.

Vidare kommer sannolikt frekvensen av utbredda skador från olika andra redan etablerade eller nytillkomna skadeinsekter att öka. Även deras naturliga fiender får bättre förutsättningar och kommer också att kunna föröka upp sig vid olika angrepp.

Biologisk mångfald

Klimatförändringarna hotar många av skogens känsligare arter. Fördelen av att klara hårda vintrar minskar vilket innebär att nordliga arter kan minska i utbredning inom landets gränser.

Hastigheten i klimatförändringen innebär också att svårspridda arter med mycket speciellt biotopkrav får svårt att hinna med att flytta norrut. Ökad variation i fukthalt mellan vår/höst och sommar kan ge problem för fuktkrävande arter.

Om viltbetet tillåts öka kan ökad ”förgraning” och sämre tillgång på begärliga trädarter (till exempel sälg, rönn, asp, tall) minska mångfalden regionalt. Ändringar i skogsbruket till följd av klimatpolitiken kan påverka negativt såväl som positivt. I takt med att vintrarna blir mildare kan nya arter vandra in från söder och sydliga arter vandra norrut, vilket kan ha olika inverkan i olika fall.

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  119. Palms down, Apple’s application shop wins through a mile. It’s a large amount of all styles of apps vs a rather unsatisfied option of a handful for Zune. Microsoft consists of Strategies, primarily inside the realm of online games, however I am not yes I’d want in the direction of guess on the long run if this feature is sizeable to yourself. The iPod is a a lot far better option within just that scenario.

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  121. Apple previously consists of Rhapsody as an app, which is a very good start, however it is at the moment hampered as a result of the inability toward retail store regionally upon your iPod, and contains a dismal 64kbps bit value. If this adjustments, then it will somewhat negate this comfort for the Zune, still the 10 audio for each thirty day period will nonetheless be a massive plus in Zune Pass’ want.

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  138. The Zune concentrates on currently being a Transportable Media Player. Not a net browser. Not a recreation machine. Maybe in the upcoming it’ll do even greater within those people areas, yet for previously it’s a extraordinary direction in direction of arrange and hear in direction of your music and videos, and is without the need of peer in that respect. The iPod’s pros are its net visiting and apps. If all those strong added powerful, quite possibly it is your least difficult decision.

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  147. I’ll gear this review to 2 types of people: current Zune owners who are considering an upgrade, and people trying to decide between a Zune and an iPod. (There are other players worth considering out there, like the Sony Walkman X, but I hope this gives you enough info to make an informed decision of the Zune vs players other than the iPod line as well.)

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  153. Zune and iPod: Most people compare the Zune to the Touch, but after seeing how slim and surprisingly small and light it is, I consider it to be a rather unique hybrid that combines qualities of both the Touch and the Nano. It’s very colorful and lovely OLED screen is slightly smaller than the touch screen, but the player itself feels quite a bit smaller and lighter. It weighs about 2/3 as much, and is noticeably smaller in width and height, while being just a hair thicker.

  154. If you’re still on the fence: grab your favorite earphones, head down to a Best Buy and ask to plug them into a Zune then an iPod and see which one sounds better to you, and which interface makes you smile more. Then you’ll know which is right for you.

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  156. The new Zune browser is surprisingly good, but not as good as the iPod’s. It works well, but isn’t as fast as Safari, and has a clunkier interface. If you occasionally plan on using the web browser that’s not an issue, but if you’re planning to browse the web alot from your PMP then the iPod’s larger screen and better browser may be important.

  157. If you’re still on the fence: grab your favorite earphones, head down to a Best Buy and ask to plug them into a Zune then an iPod and see which one sounds better to you, and which interface makes you smile more. Then you’ll know which is right for you.

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  160. I’ll gear this review to 2 types of people: current Zune owners who are considering an upgrade, and people trying to decide between a Zune and an iPod. (There are other players worth considering out there, like the Sony Walkman X, but I hope this gives you enough info to make an informed decision of the Zune vs players other than the iPod line as well.)

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  162. The new Zune browser is surprisingly good, but not as good as the iPod’s. It works well, but isn’t as fast as Safari, and has a clunkier interface. If you occasionally plan on using the web browser that’s not an issue, but if you’re planning to browse the web alot from your PMP then the iPod’s larger screen and better browser may be important.

  163. I’ll gear this review to 2 types of people: current Zune owners who are considering an upgrade, and people trying to decide between a Zune and an iPod. (There are other players worth considering out there, like the Sony Walkman X, but I hope this gives you enough info to make an informed decision of the Zune vs players other than the iPod line as well.)

  164. Hands down, Apple’s app store wins by a mile. It’s a huge selection of all sorts of apps vs a rather sad selection of a handful for Zune. Microsoft has plans, especially in the realm of games, but I’m not sure I’d want to bet on the future if this aspect is important to you. The iPod is a much better choice in that case.

  165. The Zune concentrates on being a Portable Media Player. Not a web browser. Not a game machine. Maybe in the future it’ll do even better in those areas, but for now it’s a fantastic way to organize and listen to your music and videos, and is without peer in that regard. The iPod’s strengths are its web browsing and apps. If those sound more compelling, perhaps it is your best choice.

  166. I’ll gear this review to 2 types of people: current Zune owners who are considering an upgrade, and people trying to decide between a Zune and an iPod. (There are other players worth considering out there, like the Sony Walkman X, but I hope this gives you enough info to make an informed decision of the Zune vs players other than the iPod line as well.)

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